Tian Guangcheng, China Association of private education

With the amendment of the private education promotion law, private education as a supplement to public education in recent years, both the number of schools, the number of students and penetration rate maintain an upward trend.

according to the data of the Ministry of education, in 2019, there were 191500 private schools at all levels, an increase of 8052 over the previous year, accounting for 36.13% of the country’s total; 56.166100 students were enrolled in various types of education, an increase of 2.384 million over the previous year, an increase of 4.43%.

“private education has been incorporated into the national strategy, and relevant policies include training education, pre-school education, online education, vocational education, etc., with unprecedented coverage. Therefore, the state has never attached so much importance to education, especially private education.” Tian Guang, President of Zhejiang Provincial Research Institute for the development of private education and vice president of the research branch of China Private Education Association, said in pairs with interface education.

due to the frequent thunderstorm incidents in many educational and training institutions around the country during the epidemic period, Tian Guangcheng said, “the state’s attitude towards education is to promote its healthy development on the one hand and strengthen standardized management on the other hand. And strengthening the supervision of funds is a key move in the governance of teaching and training institutions. ”

Nevertheless, compared with the impact of the epidemic on private education, Tian Guangcheng believes that the implementation of “citizen Recruitment” nationwide from 2020 has the greatest impact on private education, especially on private primary and secondary schools.

the first is the quality of students. Tian Guangcheng said that before the same recruitment, Taking Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province as an example, “many parents will first let their children apply to private schools, especially in primary and secondary schools, and public schools will provide financial support.”

after the same enrollment, parents are required to sign up for public schools and private schools at the same time, and choose one of them. One possible result is: first, they chose to apply for private schools, but they were not accepted. At the same time, the number of public schools is full, so they have to go to schools that are relatively weak within the school district.

in addition, citizens are required to implement computer rank in a unified way throughout the country. “It used to be a private school’s advantage in recruiting students. It can choose a good source of students, but now this advantage has disappeared.” Tian Guangcheng said.

he also revealed that this year, the proportion of students enrolled in private schools in Hangzhou was about 1.1:1, while in the past, the proportion was as high as 8:1, and some schools even reached 40:1.

according to the industry segmentation, the private education industry can be subdivided into preschool education, k12 education stage, higher education and vocational training.

according to the recent statistics of Anxin securities, the private penetration rate of kindergartens is the highest, rising from 28% in 2004 to 56% in 2019; the private higher education stage is about 20%, and its overall penetration level and promotion speed are second only to kindergarten stage; the private middle school is between 10-20%, and the private primary school penetration rate is the lowest, no more than 10%.

analysts of Anxin securities believe that, from the perspective of supply and demand, due to the scarcity of high-quality education resources in China and the great competition for higher education, extracurricular counseling is basically a rigid demand.

in addition, K12 stage has certain particularity, and its trial and error cost is high, so offline counseling is relatively effective at present. Driven by the superposition of the path of higher education, the demand of K12 stage extracurricular training is still strong.

in different stages of K12, there is a certain potential for the initial upgrading of teaching and training track. According to the data of Anxin securities, the overall enrollment rate is more than 90% due to the fact that most of the junior high school entrance links are matched by school districts, and the compulsory education stage has basically achieved full coverage.

and the first promotion to general high school, that is, corresponding to the middle school entrance examination, the overall enrollment rate of our country is less than 60%, which is the most important part of the whole enrollment mechanism, that is, 40% of students can not go to high school and turn to other ways.

in addition, the penetration rate of private higher education track also has room for growth. According to frost Sullivan report, the total income of private higher education industry increased from 82.9 billion yuan in 2014 to 118 billion yuan in 2018, with a compound annual growth rate of 9.2%. It is expected to increase to 163.7 billion yuan in 2023. You can play with mobile phones during pregnancy, but these four methods of “hurting your fetus” are not advisable. Be careful of the damage to Taibao